Thursday, September 18, 2008

National Polls: Can they really be trusted?

In a word, NO!

Ernest Partridge: Should We Believe the Polls?

Should we believe the most recent public opinion polls? Today’s “dead heat” seems inconsistent with other statistics. Among them: New registrations are overwhelmingly Democratic: The AP reported September 7 that during the primary season, “more than two million Democrats [were added] to voter rolls in the 28 states that register voters according to party affiliation.

The Republicans have lost nearly 344 thousand voters in the same state." The same AP article reported that nationwide, registered Democrats outnumber Republicans, 42 million to 31 million.

As recently as September, Gallup reported that the Democrats had a ten percent lead in party affiliation among voters: 47% to 37%. And 80% of the American public is “dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States.”

And yet Gallup chooses to survey an even number of Democrats and Republicans.


In addition, the pollsters contact users of land-line phones and exclude cell phone users. Presumably, younger and more liberal voters are more inclined to use cell phones. Both factors would surely inflate the GOP numbers. [and there's the rigged elections factor...]

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The Nazis, Fascists and Communists were political parties before they became enemies of liberty and mass murderers.

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