A thought occurred to me, after McCain's amazing comeback in the primaries. Is it possible that the Bush machine wanted the GOP to lose this year, dumping all Junior's problems in Democratic laps while planning to run Jeb in 2012?
With as many as one-third of voters expected to cast their ballots before Election Day, preliminary data from several key battleground states show more Democrats than Republicans have voted early.
While the information should hardly be considered predictive of how the election may turn, accounting for just a fraction of the vote, it does offer a window into the loyalties of this growing segment of the electorate. The early tabulations of party affiliations seem to bolster polling that shows Senator Barack Obama’s campaign on the electoral offensive in states that President
Information from counties representing more than 90 percent of
The dates when early voting begins and ends vary by state. Experts cautioned that the full impact of early voting cannot be known until the choices of those without party affiliations become more clear on Election Day.
In years past, however, early voting has tended to favor Republicans, according to voting experts.
“In the past, what you’ve seen is early voters tend to be older, had higher incomes and lean more Republican and that trend has held over the past elections,” said
The early voting is part of a broader transformation in the way Americans vote. In the past, absentee voting was reserved mainly for those unable to make it to the polls on Election Day, whether because of sickness, business or military service. Now more than 30 states allow voters to cast early ballots either in person or by mail without requiring an excuse.
In 2004, 22 percent of voters cast an early presidential ballot; in 2000, 16 percent voted early. But a national poll of 2,500 registered voters conducted from Oct. 16 to 19, released Tuesday by the
Both figures were up significantly from a survey conducted in the same period in 2004. The poll found
“If one candidate has the momentum at an early stage before Election Day, it’s going to favor that candidate,”
Some of the most detailed early voting data examined by
At this point, 56 percent of the early voters in
“From our perspective, it looks very good,” said
“A bit of it is culture,”
“We are essentially implementing the same successful program that
In a conference call with reporters on Tuesday,
The Obama campaign has also worked to capitalize on early-voting laws. Pitching early voting has become a mandatory part of
“Whoever comes and sits in that chair, tell them to early-vote,”
The Obama campaign has built databases on all of their supporters, focusing specifically on encouraging early voting among people who have long commutes or children or other potential obstacles to voting on Election Day. “The early data,” said
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The Nazis, Fascists and Communists were political parties before they became enemies of liberty and mass murderers.